Every few weeks a headline says prediction markets just hit a record. The last one was big. Combined monthly volume across the major platforms reached roughly $45 billion in June 2026, and a few outlets…
The final part of Foundations. If you’re new, start from the beginning: What Is a Prediction Market? → Prediction Markets vs Betting → How to Read Prediction Market Prices → Where the Costs Hide →…
Here’s a puzzle that catches almost everyone. You buy a share at 30¢. Later you sell it, and the price on screen still reads 30¢. You’d expect to break even. Instead you’re down. Nothing moved,…
A prediction market shows you a single number, say $0.65. Almost everything you need is packed into it if you know how to unpack it. Most people don’t, and it quietly costs them money. By…
It’s a fair guess. Both put money on an uncertain outcome, and both pay out if you’re right. From a distance, prediction markets versus betting looks like a distinction without a difference, two cousins wearing…
Picture you and a friend arguing about whether a team wins the championship. One says yes and puts down $100. The other says no and matches it. Winner takes all. A prediction market is that…
