If you’re comparing Kalshi vs Polymarket perps, one number does most of the work. Kalshi caps Bitcoin perpetuals at around 5.8x. Polymarket, which launched its own perps on September 4, goes to 20x. Same product…
Update, 5 September 2026. Since this was published, leverage stopped being a forecast and became a product. Kalshi’s perps went live in June with per-asset caps under 6x, and Polymarket launched its own on 4…
Ask me whether prediction markets are legal and I have to ask you a question back: where are you standing? That used to be a throwaway answer. In 2026 it’s the whole answer. The same…
Prediction markets are valuable because informed people participate. That’s the whole point: prices mean something because someone, somewhere, knows more than the crowd and puts money on it. But two recent cases showed where that…
In May, Polymarket ran a market with a clean question: will MicroStrategy sell any Bitcoin by May 31? The company’s own SEC filing later confirmed a sale of 32 BTC between May 26 and 31,…
“Polymarket is banned in the US.” Outdated. “Polymarket is legal in the US.” Incomplete. Both sentences are wrong because they assume one Polymarket exists. Since December 2025, there are two. The international exchange is the…
This World Cup, FIFA tried something new: it named its first ever official prediction market partner. It wasn’t Polymarket or Kalshi. It was ADI Predictstreet, a Gibraltar-licensed platform most traders had never heard of, licensed…
