about this notebook
Hi, I’m Anna.
I fell into prediction markets in 2025 as an investor. This site is me writing down what I learn as I go — not polished after the fact.
I post shorter takes on X — @AnnaPredicts
Why prediction markets
A poll asks what you think. A prediction market asks what you’re willing to put money behind. In stocks or crypto, having an edge usually means having infrastructure. In prediction markets, the edge is just knowing something the crowd doesn’t. What you know has an actual price tag on it — not luck, not vibes.
Who this is for
Anyone who keeps hearing “prediction markets” and has no idea where to actually start. You don’t need a finance background — I didn’t have one either. The editorial line is the same everywhere: what actually works, what the risks really are, no hype.
What you’ll find here
Academy
How prediction markets work, from zero to how the industry runs under the hood.
Guides
Step-by-step walkthroughs — doing things, not just understanding them.
Platforms
Honest comparisons — regulation, money rails, resolution rules, who each platform fits.
Analysis
Real markets and industry stories, tracked as they play out.
New here? There’s a path.
Start with Academy →